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Qual 252018 Dallas Regional
Red324
6526107.2
3005183.2
2333147.1
Blue248
1296155.3
6171116.7
5889128.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277276240260300320324248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#3
183.28.5
124.6→133.1
Auto23.7
Teleop131.9
End27.8
red by 27.9
1296
#12
155.35.7
129.4→135.0
Auto20.0
Teleop117.6
End17.2
Second
2333
#5
147.18.4
113.9→122.3
Auto18.3
Teleop114.1
End12.5
red by 18.7
5889
#11
128.35.7
97.0→102.7
Auto16.8
Teleop104.5
End7.8
Third
6526
#25
107.24.7
77.4→82.2
Auto14.2
Teleop81.2
End14.7
blue by 9.5
6171
#53
116.73.4
106.0→109.4
Auto16.6
Teleop94.4
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed