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Qual 262018 Dallas Regional
Red307
7319103.2
647119.2
4192128.7
Blue243
6321104.1
7121102.2
7091110.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2232440100200300400500307243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4192
#22
128.76.4
99.1→105.5
Auto18.7
Teleop103.4
End4.5
red by 17.8
7091
#24
110.99.3
91.1→100.5
Auto15.0
Teleop84.8
End15.3
Second
647
#28
119.26.7
94.1→100.8
Auto12.8
Teleop98.0
End7.1
red by 15.0
6321
#20
104.14.6
96.3→101.0
Auto15.6
Teleop81.1
End8.8
Third
7319
#33
103.22.4
86.3→88.7
Auto12.2
Teleop82.9
End10.3
red by 1.0
7121
#42
102.23.4
87.5→90.9
Auto17.3
Teleop79.4
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed