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Red202
5960118.8
3179138.2
3593142.4
Blue379
118202.5
2164121.7
3370103.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2663260100200400500600202379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3593
#10
142.47.6
110.1117.7
Auto21.1
Teleop106.3
End16.1
blue by 60.1
118
#2
202.55.5
160.2165.7
Auto29.1
Teleop139.1
End35.0
Second
138.210.0
102.5112.6
Auto19.3
Teleop102.2
End19.3
red by 16.5
2164
#37
121.73.4
113.1116.6
Auto18.1
Teleop93.1
End10.7
Third
5960
#39
118.85.3
101.3106.6
Auto16.1
Teleop91.1
End11.3
red by 15.3
3370
#48
103.58.6
88.196.7
Auto17.0
Teleop80.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed