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Qual 302018 Dallas Regional
Red310
138299.0
4206138.8
6369112.5
Blue25
6655112.4
2805119.8
675185.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303216010040050060031025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4206
#14
138.89.3
115.8→125.1
Auto20.7
Teleop106.5
End11.2
red by 18.9
2805
#27
119.88.5
96.8→105.4
Auto16.8
Teleop91.5
End12.5
Second
6369
#44
112.53.2
116.3→119.5
Auto20.1
Teleop88.4
End0.3
red by 0.1
6655
#17
112.47.6
92.0→99.6
Auto16.5
Teleop84.0
End14.7
Third
1382
#43
99.02.3
96.9→99.2
Auto15.7
Teleop77.7
End7.2
red by 13.5
6751
#58
85.52.8
86.3→89.1
Auto12.8
Teleop68.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsEarned21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed