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Qual 312018 Dallas Regional
Red208
2333147.1
7121102.2
7119101.7
Blue235
3676120.5
2723133.7
6321104.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions259256200300350208235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2333
#5
147.17.8
122.3→130.0
Auto18.3
Teleop114.1
End12.5
red by 13.4
2723
#18
133.74.3
104.4→108.8
Auto15.4
Teleop103.7
End14.7
Second
7121
#42
102.20.9
90.9→91.8
Auto17.3
Teleop79.4
End11.0
blue by 18.3
3676
#16
120.58.7
102.3→111.0
Auto15.0
Teleop83.5
End21.5
Third
7119
#49
101.73.4
96.4→99.7
Auto15.8
Teleop82.0
End2.1
blue by 2.4
6321
#20
104.11.6
101.0→102.6
Auto15.6
Teleop81.1
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed