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Red224
6171116.7
5242118.2
5775111.1
Blue241
1296155.3
7120124.2
5417125.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278291200250350400224241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5242
#19
118.25.9
106.4112.3
Auto14.2
Teleop93.7
End15.1
blue by 37.1
1296
#12
155.33.5
135.0138.5
Auto20.0
Teleop117.6
End17.2
Second
6171
#53
116.71.9
109.4111.3
Auto16.6
Teleop94.4
End6.6
blue by 8.6
5417
#55
125.33.2
114.8118.0
Auto15.3
Teleop95.5
End14.0
Third
5775
#38
111.18.9
96.0104.9
Auto15.0
Teleop89.8
End4.3
blue by 13.1
7120
#21
124.28.2
102.2110.4
Auto14.4
Teleop101.6
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed