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Qual 342018 Dallas Regional
Red362
5431145.7
6526107.2
118202.5
Blue290
6672129.4
1477136.6
6133116.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302272100150200250350400450362290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#2
202.54.8
165.7→170.5
Auto29.1
Teleop139.1
End35.0
red by 65.9
1477
#47
136.62.3
127.7→130.1
Auto14.6
Teleop107.8
End12.6
Second
5431
#7
145.74.8
117.1→121.9
Auto19.1
Teleop103.5
End23.4
red by 16.3
6672
#26
129.40.9
122.4→121.5
Auto14.6
Teleop100.6
End17.3
Third
6526
#25
107.25.2
82.2→87.4
Auto14.2
Teleop81.2
End14.7
blue by 9.1
6133
#31
116.21.8
111.3→113.1
Auto15.9
Teleop86.6
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed