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Qual 402018 Dallas Regional
Red137
5411101.4
5682121.1
5057116.5
Blue217
7319103.2
5960118.8
675185.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2981900100400500600137217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5682
#30
121.19.7
106.8→116.5
Auto18.0
Teleop88.1
End13.3
red by 2.2
5960
#39
118.82.9
106.6→109.5
Auto16.1
Teleop91.1
End11.3
Second
5057
#45
116.54.0
99.4→103.4
Auto13.1
Teleop90.3
End16.5
red by 13.3
7319
#33
103.22.7
88.7→91.4
Auto12.2
Teleop82.9
End10.3
Third
5411
#59
101.41.2
102.6→103.8
Auto13.6
Teleop79.7
End10.8
red by 15.9
6751
#58
85.50.9
89.1→88.2
Auto12.8
Teleop68.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed