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Qual 412018 Dallas Regional
Red224
3037106.9
5417125.3
2723133.7
Blue377
1296155.3
4192128.7
4206138.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2373480100200300400500600224377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2723
#18
133.73.5
108.8→112.3
Auto15.4
Teleop103.7
End14.7
blue by 21.6
1296
#12
155.31.5
138.5→140.0
Auto20.0
Teleop117.6
End17.2
Second
5417
#55
125.31.2
118.0→119.2
Auto15.3
Teleop95.5
End14.0
blue by 13.5
4206
#14
138.83.2
131.4→134.6
Auto20.7
Teleop106.5
End11.2
Third
3037
#50
106.95.1
99.5→104.5
Auto12.8
Teleop83.1
End8.6
blue by 21.8
4192
#22
128.76.2
111.0→117.2
Auto18.7
Teleop103.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed48%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed