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Qual 422018 Dallas Regional
Red90
3507121.0
6321104.1
5242118.2
Blue405
3005183.2
3593142.4
1477136.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222356010030040050060090405

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3507
#52
121.03.0
115.4→118.3
Auto15.8
Teleop90.7
End10.1
blue by 62.2
3005
#3
183.28.6
141.0→149.6
Auto23.7
Teleop131.9
End27.8
Second
5242
#19
118.22.5
112.3→114.8
Auto14.2
Teleop93.7
End15.1
blue by 24.2
3593
#10
142.42.0
122.2→124.2
Auto21.1
Teleop106.3
End16.1
Third
6321
#20
104.11.7
102.6→104.3
Auto15.6
Teleop81.1
End8.8
blue by 32.4
1477
#47
136.62.3
130.1→132.3
Auto14.6
Teleop107.8
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed63%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed