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Qual 52018 Dallas Regional
Red168
2723133.7
5775111.1
6133116.2
Blue343
3005183.2
5057116.5
3179138.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2632970100200400500600168343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2723
#18
133.716.1
73.8→89.9
Auto15.4
Teleop103.7
End14.7
blue by 49.5
3005
#3
183.213.1
101.2→114.3
Auto23.7
Teleop131.9
End27.8
Second
6133
#31
116.215.4
79.7→95.1
Auto15.9
Teleop86.6
End16.0
blue by 21.9
3179
#8
138.216.0
74.4→90.4
Auto19.3
Teleop102.2
End19.3
Third
5775
#38
111.117.6
60.6→78.1
Auto15.0
Teleop89.8
End4.3
blue by 5.5
5057
#45
116.517.2
63.7→80.9
Auto13.1
Teleop90.3
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed