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Qual 62018 Dallas Regional
Red185
2341131.3
3507121.0
1296155.3
Blue473
148213.7
7091110.9
6901108.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3192770100200400500600700185473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
#12
155.312.0
111.5→123.5
Auto20.0
Teleop117.6
End17.2
blue by 58.4
148
#1
213.710.2
129.9→140.1
Auto23.5
Teleop147.2
End43.7
Second
2341
#32
131.314.8
85.1→100.0
Auto17.9
Teleop99.1
End15.9
red by 20.4
7091
#24
110.933.1
110.9→77.7
Auto15.0
Teleop84.8
End15.3
Third
3507
#52
121.014.7
86.3→101.0
Auto15.8
Teleop90.7
End10.1
red by 12.8
6901
#34
108.230.5
108.2→77.7
Auto14.7
Teleop88.2
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed