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Red310
5639111.5
2333147.1
6671117.6
Blue123
2805119.8
5212121.4
3370103.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301251100200400500310123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
147.12.7
135.7138.3
Auto18.3
Teleop114.1
End12.5
red by 25.6
5212
#23
121.46.5
106.1112.6
Auto14.9
Teleop90.7
End17.1
Second
6671
#40
117.64.9
107.8112.7
Auto14.8
Teleop94.1
End7.5
blue by 2.2
2805
#27
119.84.3
113.2117.5
Auto16.8
Teleop91.5
End12.5
Third
5639
#56
111.52.5
108.2110.8
Auto13.1
Teleop87.4
End10.9
red by 8.1
3370
#48
103.50.3
105.7105.4
Auto17.0
Teleop80.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed