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Qual 582018 Dallas Regional
Red339
2848174.9
3355124.2
7091110.9
Blue156
5242118.2
6526107.2
2789114.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3242040100400500600339156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2848
#4
174.97.4
153.6→161.0
Auto22.8
Teleop127.0
End24.4
red by 56.7
5242
#19
118.20.1
114.8→114.9
Auto14.2
Teleop93.7
End15.1
Second
3355
#9
124.23.0
109.4→112.4
Auto17.2
Teleop97.5
End11.2
red by 10.0
2789
#36
114.24.5
105.4→109.9
Auto14.2
Teleop88.2
End7.7
Third
7091
#24
110.90.3
106.9→106.6
Auto15.0
Teleop84.8
End15.3
red by 3.7
6526
#25
107.24.6
93.3→98.0
Auto14.2
Teleop81.2
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed