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Red165
7120124.2
675185.5
4192128.7
Blue387
1477136.6
2333147.1
3507121.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2183350100300400500600165387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4192
#22
128.72.7
122.7125.5
Auto18.7
Teleop103.4
End4.5
blue by 18.4
147.11.8
138.3140.1
Auto18.3
Teleop114.1
End12.5
Second
7120
#21
124.23.9
117.5121.4
Auto14.4
Teleop101.6
End7.5
blue by 12.4
1477
#47
136.60.2
136.0135.8
Auto14.6
Teleop107.8
End12.6
Third
6751
#58
85.52.0
92.090.0
Auto12.8
Teleop68.2
End3.8
blue by 35.5
3507
#52
121.00.1
118.7118.7
Auto15.8
Teleop90.7
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
6%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed