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Qual 632018 Dallas Regional
Red192
7091110.9
3676120.5
3005183.2
Blue176
1255112.9
2164121.7
3802154.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285257150200350400450192176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#3
183.28.3
157.5→165.9
Auto23.7
Teleop131.9
End27.8
red by 28.7
3802
#6
154.54.7
138.6→143.2
Auto21.1
Teleop118.7
End14.7
Second
3676
#16
120.50.6
121.1→121.7
Auto15.0
Teleop83.5
End21.5
blue by 1.2
2164
#37
121.71.9
123.3→121.5
Auto18.1
Teleop93.1
End10.7
Third
7091
#24
110.91.4
106.6→108.0
Auto15.0
Teleop84.8
End15.3
blue by 2.0
1255
#29
112.90.9
114.6→113.7
Auto18.3
Teleop88.8
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed