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Qual 662018 Dallas Regional
Red253
328288.6
6671117.6
2341131.3
Blue270
5889128.3
5242118.2
7319103.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221260100200300400253270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2341
#32
131.33.3
122.6→125.9
Auto17.9
Teleop99.1
End15.9
red by 2.9
5889
#11
128.34.9
115.3→120.2
Auto16.8
Teleop104.5
End7.8
Second
6671
#40
117.63.2
112.7→115.9
Auto14.8
Teleop94.1
End7.5
blue by 0.6
5242
#19
118.20.2
114.9→114.7
Auto14.2
Teleop93.7
End15.1
Third
3282
#41
88.60.7
87.5→86.8
Auto14.1
Teleop69.0
End10.0
blue by 14.7
7319
#33
103.21.3
97.0→98.3
Auto12.2
Teleop82.9
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed