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Qual 672018 Dallas Regional
Red301
3593142.4
5411101.4
2723133.7
Blue103
1745116.2
2805119.8
6768101.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285265100150200350400450301103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3593
#10
142.45.3
127.6→132.9
Auto21.1
Teleop106.3
End16.1
red by 22.5
2805
#27
119.81.6
117.5→119.1
Auto16.8
Teleop91.5
End12.5
Second
2723
#18
133.74.6
114.6→119.2
Auto15.4
Teleop103.7
End14.7
red by 17.5
1745
#51
116.20.2
118.2→118.5
Auto14.5
Teleop88.0
End11.3
Third
5411
#59
101.41.9
103.7→101.8
Auto13.6
Teleop79.7
End10.8
red by 0.1
6768
#54
101.30.6
102.8→102.2
Auto14.2
Teleop78.6
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed