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Red447
5057116.5
732186.7
148213.7
Blue246
7119101.7
5431145.7
6655112.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306250100200400500600447246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
213.77.6
182.6190.2
Auto23.5
Teleop147.2
End43.7
red by 68.0
145.74.4
131.9136.3
Auto19.1
Teleop103.5
End23.4
Second
5057
#45
116.52.7
107.9110.6
Auto13.1
Teleop90.3
End16.5
red by 4.1
6655
#17
112.41.3
106.4107.6
Auto16.5
Teleop84.0
End14.7
Third
7321
#57
86.71.3
86.885.5
Auto11.9
Teleop68.7
End7.7
blue by 15.0
7119
#49
101.70.6
103.2102.6
Auto15.8
Teleop82.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsEarned9%Face the Boss oddsMissed