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Qual 792018 Dallas Regional
Red81
138299.0
732186.7
5639111.5
Blue363
2164121.7
5242118.2
2723133.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168324010020040050060081363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5639
#56
111.50.2
112.3→112.5
Auto13.1
Teleop87.4
End10.9
blue by 22.1
2723
#18
133.74.4
119.2→123.5
Auto15.4
Teleop103.7
End14.7
Second
1382
#43
99.01.5
97.7→99.2
Auto15.7
Teleop77.7
End7.2
blue by 22.7
2164
#37
121.70.8
121.5→120.6
Auto18.1
Teleop93.1
End10.7
Third
7321
#57
86.71.4
85.5→86.9
Auto11.9
Teleop68.7
End7.7
blue by 31.5
5242
#19
118.21.1
114.7→115.8
Auto14.2
Teleop93.7
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed