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Red325
7121102.2
5212121.4
1296155.3
Blue302
6646114.3
118202.5
328288.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291324100200400500600325302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
#12
155.33.6
146.9150.6
Auto20.0
Teleop117.6
End17.2
blue by 47.2
118
#2
202.55.4
185.6191.0
Auto29.1
Teleop139.1
End35.0
Second
5212
#23
121.43.0
115.7118.7
Auto14.9
Teleop90.7
End17.1
red by 7.1
6646
#46
114.30.2
113.6113.4
Auto14.4
Teleop85.7
End17.2
Third
7121
#42
102.24.3
94.398.6
Auto17.3
Teleop79.4
End11.0
red by 13.6
3282
#41
88.60.4
86.887.2
Auto14.1
Teleop69.0
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsEarned