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Qual 812018 Dallas Regional
Red220
647119.2
5682121.1
6526107.2
Blue295
7120124.2
2341131.3
1255112.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2383100100200400500220295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5682
#30
121.13.3
124.4→121.1
Auto18.0
Teleop88.1
End13.3
blue by 10.2
2341
#32
131.32.4
128.9→131.3
Auto17.9
Teleop99.1
End15.9
Second
647
#28
119.20.7
118.4→119.2
Auto12.8
Teleop98.0
End7.1
blue by 5.0
7120
#21
124.21.5
122.7→124.2
Auto14.4
Teleop101.6
End7.5
Third
6526
#25
107.23.2
104.0→107.2
Auto14.2
Teleop81.2
End14.7
blue by 5.7
1255
#29
112.90.9
113.5→112.6
Auto18.3
Teleop88.8
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed