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Qual 822018 Dallas Regional
Red409
3802154.5
4192128.7
5431145.7
Blue109
3370103.5
3179138.2
6171116.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3642250100300400500600409109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3802
#6
154.53.9
146.3→150.2
Auto21.1
Teleop118.7
End14.7
red by 16.3
3179
#8
138.24.1
132.6→136.7
Auto19.3
Teleop102.2
End19.3
Second
5431
#7
145.73.8
139.2→143.0
Auto19.1
Teleop103.5
End23.4
red by 29.0
6171
#53
116.70.5
116.2→116.7
Auto16.6
Teleop94.4
End6.6
Third
4192
#22
128.71.6
126.0→127.6
Auto18.7
Teleop103.4
End4.5
red by 25.2
3370
#48
103.51.2
104.7→103.5
Auto17.0
Teleop80.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed