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Red440
6321104.1
148213.7
6133116.2
Blue291
2805119.8
4076114.6
2164121.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3512120100300400500600440291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
213.76.8
197.6204.4
Auto23.5
Teleop147.2
End43.7
red by 92.0
2164
#37
121.71.1
120.6121.7
Auto18.1
Teleop93.1
End10.7
Second
6133
#31
116.21.1
117.3116.2
Auto15.9
Teleop86.6
End16.0
blue by 3.6
2805
#27
119.81.0
118.8119.8
Auto16.8
Teleop91.5
End12.5
Third
6321
#20
104.10.9
103.3104.1
Auto15.6
Teleop81.1
End8.8
blue by 10.5
4076
#35
114.60.3
114.3114.6
Auto12.8
Teleop86.6
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
25%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed