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Qual 852018 Dallas Regional
Red360
5057116.5
5889128.3
138299.0
Blue219
712585.3
1296155.3
5639111.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2782600200400600800360219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5889
#11
128.31.7
124.6→126.3
Auto16.8
Teleop104.5
End7.8
blue by 26.9
1296
#12
155.33.1
150.6→153.7
Auto20.0
Teleop117.6
End17.2
Second
5057
#45
116.51.9
114.6→116.5
Auto13.1
Teleop90.3
End16.5
red by 5.0
5639
#56
111.51.0
112.5→111.5
Auto13.1
Teleop87.4
End10.9
Third
1382
#43
99.00.1
99.2→99.0
Auto15.7
Teleop77.7
End7.2
red by 13.7
7125
#60
85.30.8
86.2→85.3
Auto11.6
Teleop69.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed