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Red186
1477136.6
675185.5
7091110.9
Blue407
2848174.9
2723133.7
328288.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1913330100300400500600186407

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#47
136.60.8
137.2136.5
Auto14.6
Teleop107.8
End12.6
blue by 38.3
174.92.0
169.7171.7
Auto22.8
Teleop127.0
End24.4
Second
7091
#24
110.92.1
108.8110.9
Auto15.0
Teleop84.8
End15.3
blue by 22.8
2723
#18
133.74.5
123.5128.0
Auto15.4
Teleop103.7
End14.7
Third
6751
#58
85.52.1
87.685.5
Auto12.8
Teleop68.2
End3.8
blue by 3.0
3282
#41
88.61.4
87.288.6
Auto14.1
Teleop69.0
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed