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Red171
5960118.8
5411101.4
6671117.6
Blue194
5775111.1
3676120.5
4206138.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2143060100400500171194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5960
#39
118.83.3
122.1118.8
Auto16.1
Teleop91.1
End11.3
blue by 20.0
4206
#14
138.81.1
138.2139.3
Auto20.7
Teleop106.5
End11.2
Second
6671
#40
117.61.2
118.8117.6
Auto14.8
Teleop94.1
End7.5
blue by 2.9
3676
#16
120.50.5
122.1121.6
Auto15.0
Teleop83.5
End21.5
Third
5411
#59
101.40.5
101.9101.4
Auto13.6
Teleop79.7
End10.8
blue by 9.6
5775
#38
111.11.0
112.0111.1
Auto15.0
Teleop89.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed53%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed