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Red372
2583110.7
624199.6
6682127.3
Blue447
3481151.9
3158123.7
504799.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3342440100200300400500600700372447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#2
199.62.3
170.7173.0
Auto24.1
Teleop144.5
End34.1
red by 47.7
151.91.4
136.9138.3
Auto18.7
Teleop117.9
End18.6
Second
6682
#21
127.314.2
78.692.8
Auto15.9
Teleop95.9
End14.8
red by 3.6
3158
#13
123.70.9
115.4114.5
Auto18.2
Teleop92.1
End13.2
Third
2583
#33
110.79.9
84.494.3
Auto16.3
Teleop85.1
End11.5
red by 10.9
5047
#31
99.811.9
79.691.5
Auto16.2
Teleop80.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed