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Red248
5783125.0
3029115.8
3335131.1
Blue357
2468174.2
6131144.7
5866113.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2573250100200400500600248357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3335
#14
131.10.7
124.6124.0
Auto15.9
Teleop106.3
End10.1
blue by 43.1
174.20.7
168.0167.3
Auto25.9
Teleop127.1
End22.2
Second
5783
#19
125.00.4
115.4115.8
Auto17.0
Teleop92.7
End18.6
blue by 19.7
144.71.5
117.4118.9
Auto20.2
Teleop101.5
End26.7
Third
3029
#34
115.87.3
85.392.7
Auto16.2
Teleop86.5
End16.1
red by 2.7
5866
#35
113.10.4
111.2111.6
Auto12.5
Teleop93.3
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed