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Red350
3366119.4
5431164.9
5613126.7
Blue269
6377136.3
2613120.7
5344104.8
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3642470100200300400500600700350269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
164.91.9
148.4150.3
Auto23.7
Teleop117.6
End21.4
red by 28.5
6377
#18
136.30.8
132.6133.4
Auto15.7
Teleop103.3
End16.4
Second
5613
#26
126.71.7
119.5121.3
Auto17.0
Teleop94.6
End16.0
red by 6.0
2613
#22
120.71.7
120.8122.4
Auto16.3
Teleop94.5
End11.7
Third
3366
#36
119.41.4
129.7128.4
Auto17.1
Teleop89.9
End13.7
red by 14.6
5344
#32
104.80.1
94.394.4
Auto14.3
Teleop81.5
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed