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Qual 182018 El Paso Regional
Red327
6171122.7
3545109.8
624199.6
Blue474
3158123.7
6133119.8
3310206.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2823420100200400500600700327474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#2
199.62.7
173.0→175.7
Auto24.1
Teleop144.5
End34.1
blue by 7.2
3310
#1
206.82.8
199.1→201.9
Auto27.2
Teleop154.1
End21.7
Second
6171
#20
122.70.3
115.1→115.4
Auto15.6
Teleop95.0
End11.9
blue by 1.0
3158
#13
123.70.2
114.5→114.8
Auto18.2
Teleop92.1
End13.2
Third
3545
#28
109.87.8
96.8→104.6
Auto15.6
Teleop83.8
End13.8
blue by 10.1
6133
#17
119.80.3
117.2→116.9
Auto15.9
Teleop87.6
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned12%Face the Boss oddsEarned