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Red163
504799.8
2613120.7
1817132.2
Blue302
182897.9
2468174.2
6377136.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306305200250350400450163302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1817
#10
132.20.8
122.1122.8
Auto16.0
Teleop101.7
End17.8
blue by 42.0
174.20.1
167.3167.4
Auto25.9
Teleop127.1
End22.2
Second
2613
#22
120.71.2
122.4123.6
Auto16.3
Teleop94.5
End11.7
blue by 15.6
6377
#18
136.30.7
133.4134.0
Auto15.7
Teleop103.3
End16.4
Third
5047
#31
99.810.8
91.5102.3
Auto16.2
Teleop80.7
End1.5
red by 1.9
1828
#37
97.91.0
98.697.7
Auto12.6
Teleop81.0
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed