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Red187
4183162.5
418154.2
504799.8
Blue291
3310206.8
624199.6
683293.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2534060100200300500600187291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.51.6
151.8153.5
Auto25.5
Teleop121.8
End15.2
blue by 44.3
206.83.6
201.9205.6
Auto27.2
Teleop154.1
End21.7
Second
418
#27
154.20.0
153.8153.8
Auto19.7
Teleop130.8
End4.3
blue by 45.4
624
#2
199.62.8
175.7178.5
Auto24.1
Teleop144.5
End34.1
Third
5047
#31
99.84.5
102.3106.8
Auto16.2
Teleop80.7
End1.5
red by 6.2
6832
#12
93.61.3
89.690.8
Auto14.8
Teleop76.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsEarned50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed21%Face the Boss oddsMissed