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Red353
5242149.1
1817132.2
2468174.2
Blue177
7059128.2
3043120.6
3545109.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3632690100200300400500600700353177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
174.20.6
167.4168.1
Auto25.9
Teleop127.1
End22.2
red by 46.0
7059
#24
128.21.2
130.9132.1
Auto17.9
Teleop95.9
End14.8
Second
149.12.8
129.3132.0
Auto18.5
Teleop109.0
End20.2
red by 28.4
3043
#23
120.68.1
102.1110.2
Auto16.2
Teleop90.7
End14.7
Third
1817
#10
132.20.3
122.8122.5
Auto16.0
Teleop101.7
End17.8
red by 22.4
3545
#28
109.87.2
104.6111.7
Auto15.6
Teleop83.8
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed