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Qual 262018 El Paso Regional
Red204
3158123.7
6144113.7
5431164.9
Blue393
6131144.7
5783125.0
4183162.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311313250300350400204393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5431
#5
164.91.3
151.9→153.3
Auto23.7
Teleop117.6
End21.4
red by 2.3
4183
#3
162.50.4
153.5→153.9
Auto25.5
Teleop121.8
End15.2
Second
3158
#13
123.71.8
116.2→118.0
Auto18.2
Teleop92.1
End13.2
blue by 21.0
6131
#7
144.72.4
120.7→123.1
Auto20.2
Teleop101.5
End26.7
Third
6144
#29
113.71.5
103.6→105.1
Auto16.2
Teleop89.0
End8.9
blue by 11.3
5783
#19
125.00.9
116.8→117.7
Auto17.0
Teleop92.7
End18.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed