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Red204
504799.8
6133119.8
182897.9
Blue417
3029115.8
6200148.6
5242149.1
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2073390100300400500600204417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6133
#17
119.80.9
118.1119.1
Auto15.9
Teleop87.6
End17.2
blue by 29.2
149.12.6
132.0134.6
Auto18.5
Teleop109.0
End20.2
Second
5047
#31
99.80.7
106.8107.5
Auto16.2
Teleop80.7
End1.5
blue by 48.9
148.62.0
133.2135.2
Auto18.0
Teleop111.9
End19.4
Third
1828
#37
97.90.2
97.797.5
Auto12.6
Teleop81.0
End6.8
blue by 18.0
3029
#34
115.82.1
98.6100.7
Auto16.2
Teleop86.5
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed