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Red252
5613126.7
2468174.2
3043120.6
Blue211
3545109.8
3310206.8
2583110.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295355100200400500600700252211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
174.20.9
168.1169.0
Auto25.9
Teleop127.1
End22.2
blue by 32.6
206.82.0
205.6207.6
Auto27.2
Teleop154.1
End21.7
Second
5613
#26
126.70.6
122.9123.5
Auto17.0
Teleop94.6
End16.0
red by 16.0
2583
#33
110.70.2
109.4109.2
Auto16.3
Teleop85.1
End11.5
Third
3043
#23
120.63.3
110.2113.4
Auto16.2
Teleop90.7
End14.7
red by 10.9
3545
#28
109.82.7
111.7114.4
Auto15.6
Teleop83.8
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed69%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed18%Face the Boss oddsMissed