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Red365
1817132.2
3366119.4
4378114.9
Blue301
1164126.9
5344104.8
624199.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions246330100200300400500365301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1817
#10
132.20.1
122.5122.7
Auto16.0
Teleop101.7
End17.8
blue by 67.4
624
#2
199.61.0
178.5179.5
Auto24.1
Teleop144.5
End34.1
Second
3366
#36
119.42.4
127.5125.1
Auto17.1
Teleop89.9
End13.7
blue by 7.5
1164
#25
126.94.6
109.5114.1
Auto17.4
Teleop96.8
End13.6
Third
4378
#16
114.92.7
100.2102.9
Auto13.8
Teleop90.3
End8.5
red by 10.1
5344
#32
104.81.0
94.695.5
Auto14.3
Teleop81.5
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed