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Red378
3366119.4
3043120.6
3310206.8
Blue222
182897.9
5866113.1
3158123.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions391184100300500600700378222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
206.80.4
207.6208.0
Auto27.2
Teleop154.1
End21.7
red by 83.1
3158
#13
123.71.1
118.0119.2
Auto18.2
Teleop92.1
End13.2
Second
3043
#23
120.61.9
113.4115.3
Auto16.2
Teleop90.7
End14.7
red by 7.6
5866
#35
113.10.4
112.4112.8
Auto12.5
Teleop93.3
End7.4
Third
3366
#36
119.41.4
125.1123.7
Auto17.1
Teleop89.9
End13.7
red by 21.6
1828
#37
97.90.7
97.596.7
Auto12.6
Teleop81.0
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed6%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed