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Red455
624199.6
6131144.7
6377136.3
Blue192
2583110.7
5242149.1
6133119.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3752530100200300500455192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#2
199.60.9
179.5180.4
Auto24.1
Teleop144.5
End34.1
red by 50.5
149.13.1
134.6137.7
Auto18.5
Teleop109.0
End20.2
Second
144.72.8
123.1125.8
Auto20.2
Teleop101.5
End26.7
red by 24.8
6133
#17
119.80.2
119.1119.2
Auto15.9
Teleop87.6
End17.2
Third
6377
#18
136.30.8
135.1134.3
Auto15.7
Teleop103.3
End16.4
red by 25.7
2583
#33
110.73.3
109.2105.9
Auto16.3
Teleop85.1
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed