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Red146
683293.6
1817132.2
5344104.8
Blue363
5431164.9
3029115.8
1164126.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2123430100300400500600700146363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1817
#10
132.20.6
122.7123.3
Auto16.0
Teleop101.7
End17.8
blue by 32.6
164.90.7
153.3154.0
Auto23.7
Teleop117.6
End21.4
Second
5344
#32
104.80.9
95.596.4
Auto14.3
Teleop81.5
End8.2
blue by 22.1
1164
#25
126.93.3
114.1117.4
Auto17.4
Teleop96.8
End13.6
Third
6832
#12
93.60.2
91.091.2
Auto14.8
Teleop76.1
End3.7
blue by 22.2
3029
#34
115.83.9
100.7104.6
Auto16.2
Teleop86.5
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
8%Auto Quest oddsEarned49%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed