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Red263
3043120.6
6133119.8
6171122.7
Blue356
3366119.4
5344104.8
6144113.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326232100200300400500600263356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6171
#20
122.70.7
118.9119.7
Auto15.6
Teleop95.0
End11.9
red by 3.3
3366
#36
119.41.2
123.7122.5
Auto17.1
Teleop89.9
End13.7
Second
3043
#23
120.61.0
115.3116.4
Auto16.2
Teleop90.7
End14.7
red by 6.9
6144
#29
113.70.3
105.2104.9
Auto16.2
Teleop89.0
End8.9
Third
6133
#17
119.80.0
119.2119.2
Auto15.9
Teleop87.6
End17.2
red by 15.0
5344
#32
104.80.9
96.497.3
Auto14.3
Teleop81.5
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed