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Red365
1164126.9
3310206.8
4183162.5
Blue174
5866113.1
504799.8
5783125.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4331730100300400500600700365174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
206.80.2
208.0208.2
Auto27.2
Teleop154.1
End21.7
red by 81.8
5783
#19
125.01.2
119.3120.5
Auto17.0
Teleop92.7
End18.6
Second
162.51.3
155.2156.5
Auto25.5
Teleop121.8
End15.2
red by 49.4
5866
#35
113.10.5
112.8113.4
Auto12.5
Teleop93.3
End7.4
Third
1164
#25
126.92.9
117.4120.3
Auto17.4
Teleop96.8
End13.6
red by 27.1
5047
#31
99.81.3
106.5105.2
Auto16.2
Teleop80.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed