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Red438
7059128.2
3481151.9
6682127.3
Blue299
5613126.7
4735125.1
182897.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3492150100300400500600700438299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151.90.3
145.1145.4
Auto18.7
Teleop117.9
End18.6
red by 25.2
5613
#26
126.70.1
123.9124.1
Auto17.0
Teleop94.6
End16.0
Second
7059
#24
128.20.1
132.4132.2
Auto17.9
Teleop95.9
End14.8
red by 3.1
4735
#11
125.10.2
119.3119.5
Auto15.5
Teleop93.1
End15.0
Third
6682
#21
127.31.7
124.0125.7
Auto15.9
Teleop95.9
End14.8
red by 29.4
1828
#37
97.90.4
96.796.4
Auto12.6
Teleop81.0
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed