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Red234
4063149.4
5242149.1
3158123.7
Blue364
6974106.8
5431164.9
2583110.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3832080100300500600234364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4063
#15
149.41.3
147.2148.4
Auto22.7
Teleop113.4
End12.7
blue by 15.5
164.90.8
154.0154.8
Auto23.7
Teleop117.6
End21.4
Second
149.12.3
137.7140.0
Auto18.5
Teleop109.0
End20.2
red by 38.4
2583
#33
110.72.5
105.9103.4
Auto16.3
Teleop85.1
End11.5
Third
3158
#13
123.71.1
119.2120.2
Auto18.2
Teleop92.1
End13.2
red by 16.9
6974
#30
106.81.3
102.7101.4
Auto16.2
Teleop86.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed