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Qual 422018 El Paso Regional
Red327
4378114.9
683293.6
2468174.2
Blue281
3029115.8
6377136.3
418154.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2523150100200400500600700800327281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#4
174.20.4
169.7→170.1
Auto25.9
Teleop127.1
End22.2
red by 20.0
418
#27
154.20.3
152.4→152.7
Auto19.7
Teleop130.8
End4.3
Second
4378
#16
114.92.7
106.1→108.8
Auto13.8
Teleop90.3
End8.5
blue by 21.5
6377
#18
136.30.3
134.3→134.6
Auto15.7
Teleop103.3
End16.4
Third
6832
#12
93.60.3
91.2→91.5
Auto14.8
Teleop76.1
End3.7
blue by 22.2
3029
#34
115.83.2
104.6→107.7
Auto16.2
Teleop86.5
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed