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Qual 432018 El Paso Regional
Red271
2613120.7
6200148.6
3545109.8
Blue459
3335131.1
1817132.2
6131144.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2793280100200400500600271459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6200
#8
148.62.2
137.8→140.0
Auto18.0
Teleop111.9
End19.4
red by 4.0
6131
#7
144.73.2
125.8→129.0
Auto20.2
Teleop101.5
End26.7
Second
2613
#22
120.70.1
122.3→122.2
Auto16.3
Teleop94.5
End11.7
blue by 11.5
1817
#10
132.20.6
123.3→123.9
Auto16.0
Teleop101.7
End17.8
Third
3545
#28
109.82.6
113.0→110.4
Auto15.6
Teleop83.8
End13.8
blue by 21.3
3335
#14
131.10.3
123.8→124.1
Auto15.9
Teleop106.3
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed