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Red520
3335131.1
2583110.7
3158123.7
Blue225
182897.9
2613120.7
4183162.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2642970100200400500600520225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3335
#14
131.10.9
124.1125.0
Auto15.9
Teleop106.3
End10.1
blue by 31.4
162.50.4
156.5156.9
Auto25.5
Teleop121.8
End15.2
Second
3158
#13
123.70.3
120.2120.5
Auto18.2
Teleop92.1
End13.2
red by 2.9
2613
#22
120.70.2
122.2122.0
Auto16.3
Teleop94.5
End11.7
Third
2583
#33
110.71.1
103.4104.5
Auto16.3
Teleop85.1
End11.5
red by 12.8
1828
#37
97.90.4
96.496.8
Auto12.6
Teleop81.0
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed