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Red374
6144113.7
1164126.9
5242149.1
Blue282
3545109.8
6131144.7
3029115.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3312550100200300400500600374282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.11.2
140.0141.2
Auto18.5
Teleop109.0
End20.2
red by 4.4
144.73.2
129.0132.2
Auto20.2
Teleop101.5
End26.7
Second
1164
#25
126.90.1
120.3120.5
Auto17.4
Teleop96.8
End13.6
red by 11.1
3029
#34
115.81.9
107.7109.6
Auto16.2
Teleop86.5
End16.1
Third
6144
#29
113.72.4
104.9107.3
Auto16.2
Teleop89.0
End8.9
red by 4.0
3545
#28
109.81.9
110.4108.6
Auto15.6
Teleop83.8
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsEarned15%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed