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Red218
1164126.9
3158123.7
6377136.3
Blue330
5431164.9
3481151.9
6200148.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2433570100200300400500600218330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6377
#18
136.30.6
131.6132.2
Auto15.7
Teleop103.3
End16.4
blue by 28.5
164.91.4
145.7147.1
Auto23.7
Teleop117.6
End21.4
Second
1164
#25
126.916.4
70.787.1
Auto17.4
Teleop96.8
End13.6
blue by 25.0
151.91.8
135.1136.9
Auto18.7
Teleop117.9
End18.6
Third
3158
#13
123.71.1
116.6115.4
Auto18.2
Teleop92.1
End13.2
blue by 25.0
148.61.1
128.4129.6
Auto18.0
Teleop111.9
End19.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed47%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed